The policy gap

HOW IS POLICY IMPACTING RETAIL PROPERTIES AND WHY DOES IT NOT GO FAR ENOUGH?

CURRENT POLICY

As the negative effects of climate change are becoming more apparent, countries around the world are under increasing pressure to cut their carbon footprints. The UK was the first major economy that committed to a legally binding target of net zero emissions by 2050, but more progress needs to be made in issuing relevant policies to achieve this.

The UK government has developed plans to improve the energy efficiency of all retail buildings by mid-2035. However, there are significant gaps in the regulations, and policy has not provided the stability or long-term vision that will enable the industry to make a smooth transition to a low carbon economy. Rather than setting sustainability requirements, policy efforts that relate to commercial properties have been focussed on improving the standards of existing buildings.

While it’s critical to reduce the impact from buildings, there are still major barriers to retrofitting, identified by the UK Green Building Council, which apply across all sectors:

  • High upfront costs, particularly for the newest technology
  • A lack of finance mechanisms and a lack of a coherent offering for institutional investors
  • No fiscal incentives
  • Limited loan and grant schemes that have prioritised specific measures and prevented a whole building approach
  • Insufficient capacity of materials, kit or personnel required to meet these targets.

Currently, most government funded initiatives are focussed on the residential sector. If it is not cost effective for the private sector to improve and upgrade existing stock, which a significant proportion of retail property is unlikely to be, are we at a stalemate, and how do we move forwards?

In its 2019 Progress Report to Parliament, the Climate Change Committee (CCC) stated that the building sector lagged behind other CO2 -intensive industries and recorded a mere 1% drop in carbon emissions between 2013 and 2018. Although the emissions subsequently plunged during the pandemic, the long-term outlook for the sector is uncertain. According to the net zero policy tracker published by Green Alliance in September 2021, current decarbonisation policies will only deliver a 36% cut in emissions needed to stay on track to net zero during the fifth carbon budget, which will run 2028-2032. Including effects of policies that are currently out for consultation would increase the reduction in emissions to just over 50%.

So, what are the key policies related to retail property and where are the gaps?

EPC, HEATING & MONITORING

The EPC policies setting the timeline for improving the efficiency of commercially let properties by 2030 will impact around 83% of retail property stock, but the details of the scheme still need to be refined. There are various issues with certification even before implementing improvement. For instance, the proposal is for commercially rented buildings to be EPC ‘B’ by 2030, assuming upgrades are ‘cost effective’. This appears to be a significant caveat, as financial viability is a major sticking point, and the cost of improved efficiencies will often not be paid back in fuel savings even over the long term.

Problems can arise where a landlord lets a unit in a stripped-out condition and the tenant’s fit-out decreases the final EPC rating below the level required by law. Given high demand for heating and cooling in retail, this could potentially be a common issue. The Department for BEIS1 will therefore need to define legal responsibilities of both tenants and landlords. Although the Government has announced its intention to support small and medium-sized businesses, few assisting measures have been taken. Meanwhile, fiscal incentives are missing, and available grants are tied to specific conditions and generally not fit for the purpose. There is currently no decarbonisation scheme for landlordoccupied non-domestic buildings even though they account for 60% of the nonresidential sector. Additionally, commercial buildings that are owned, not leased, are not covered by current EPC policy proposals, so who will be responsible to get these to grade if there isn’t any legislation to guide the process?

As the vast majority of buildings emissions result from heat, the Government has primarily focused on policies adopting low-carbon heating solutions. As part of its plan to only install clean systems in buildings from 2035 onwards, it has decided to start hydrogen trials from 2023, consult on the role of hydrogen-ready appliances and begin replacing fossil fuel boilers with electric heat pumps. In this respect, the Government has set an ambition to increase heat pump installations to 600,000 per year by 20282. However, the CCC warns this will not be sufficient to meet either the 2030 Nationally Determined Contributions (NDC) target or the Sixth Carbon Budget. The deployment rates in non-domestic sector remain low, running at less than 1,000 installations annually. It is currently unclear how the Government intends to motivate businesses to increase installations, given that the Renewable Heat Incentive for commercial pumps over 45 kW has been closed to new applications and partly replaced by the Boiler Upgrade Scheme (BUS) designated for domestic and small non-domestic buildings covering installations under 45kW3.

There are also clear problems with channelling policy on specific technologies at a time when significant innovation is underway and a more flexible approach is required. More attention needs to be given to the relationships between different initiatives: for example, the benefits from improved heating solutions are entirely negated if the buildings are not properly insulated.

Proper measurement of energy usage and efficiency is key to delivering on policy objectives. The Government has introduced a Performance-Based Policy Framework4 for large commercial buildings, requiring businesses over 1,000m2 to consistently report their energy performance. Data shows that there is almost no correlation between the actual performance of large buildings and their EPCs. This policy was therefore developed to establish a new way of assessing buildings’ energy consumption and close the ‘performance gap’. While the scheme will support building occupants to use their sites more effectively, and encourage investment into building fabric and systems, its scope is too narrow and improvement in performance is optional. It is also unclear when large retail players will be required to start reporting on their energy performance.

INSUFFICIENT MOMENTUM, SUPPORT AND INCENTIVE

The Government has made a significant step forward by publishing vital documents such as the Energy White Paper, Heat and Buildings Strategy, and the Treasury’s Net Zero Review. Yet the pace of the change is too slow and recent proposed policies do not match the size of the UKs climate change ambition. The Government has also recently published their Net-Zero Strategy - a key document that sets out the decarbonisation path for each sector. Although well-received and praised as “affordable and achievable”, longterm trajectories have been found to be vague. Subsector-specific plans and strategies, that would be particularly beneficial to retail, are also missing. Additionally, financial support in the form of loans and grants is insufficient, selectively applied and primarily focused on the residential sector.

As a result, motivated by the Paris Agreement, ESG metrics and pressure from their partners and clients, large retail landlords and investors are the ones currently driving change, with better access to funds and commercial advice enabling them to decarbonise faster. However, 75% of retail comprises smaller units in fragmented ownership with shallow pockets and resources. For these market participants, high upfront costs represent the main barrier to progress. In some cases, retrofitting might not even be feasible, which could result in asset stranding.

To help drive the transition to net zero, low-carbon options must be made financially attractive and existing funding routes replaced by better designed long-term funding programmes. To encourage efficiency updates, a long-term standards trajectory should be established. More details on how to phase out fossilfuels could also be provided. Due to its complexity, retail real estate will need an industry standard decarbonisation roadmap5 that would reflect its sector specific challenges and provide more flexibility as to how buildings with different uses can decarbonise. In addition, it is important that a framework addressing stranded assets will be introduced without a further delay and small retail units will be provided more government support and intervention to advance their decarbonisation processes. Finally, as companies increasingly implement energy saving measures, and their pool of options to decrease operational carbon is slowly diminishing, the Government should focus more attention on embodied carbon.

Other outside influences can also sway change; current retail and technology trends and geopolitical influences are likely to accelerate the transition to net zero. Responding to the war in Ukraine, European countries are urgently looking for ways to increase security of energy supply, which is likely to accelerate policy measures in favour of more sustainable sources. In addition, high energy prices motivate companies to play their part and actively take steps to cut their energy consumption. For retail, the transition to alternative uses provides an opportunity to retrofit improvements, but there remains a polarisation in opportunity and action in the best and worst trading locations.

1Department for Business, Energy & Industrial Strategy

2CCC: Progress in reducing emissions. 2021 Report to Parliament

3gov.uk/guidance/check-if-you-may-be-eligible-for-the-boiler-upgrade-scheme-from-april-2022

4BEIS: Heat and buildings strategy

5See The BRC Climate Action Roadmap article p.88

BRIDGING THE GAP

Although retail transition to net zero will likely be aided by favourable trends and political events, the current policy and regulatory framework needs to improve to meet the UK’s ambitious targets. It is now vital that the Government sets a clear direction, and approaches development, adoption and implementation of climate change policies with greater urgency, not least with regards to viability.

If the retail property sector is to achieve the targets currently being set for energy efficiency and carbon consumption, policy needs to develop in several key areas:

1
A consistent road map is needed that sets requirements across all sectors, not just certain tenures. This will create clear expectations, and encourage investors and occupiers to plan for long term change, while also making it more likely that green premiums or brown discounts will emerge and encourage behavioural change through market forces.
2
There should be greater consideration of how the tax system could be used to support businesses and individuals to make the transition to net zero. This could be critical for small or modest retail real estate owners.
3
The industry and government need to create clearer performance reporting requirements and a standardised data framework to draw increased private investment. There is considerable appetite from financial institutions to invest in decarbonisation, but more transparency around the performance of their investments would be needed to build scale.
4
As operational carbon emissions are reduced, embodied carbon will become an increasingly important consideration for regulators, developers and investors. A consistent carbon policy that sets targets and transparency requirements for new development will help investors manage risk. It will also give a consistent comparison point to assess whether it is more sustainable to hold and refurbish, or redevelop existing assets.

FIG. 1: REQUIRED REDUCTION IN EMISSIONS FOR THE FIFTH BUDGET PERIOD

Progress on emissions reductions
from policy announced since 2020
over 2028-2032 (MtCO2e)
Emissions reductions from policies out
for consultation announced since start
of 2020 over 2028-2032 (MtCO2e)
Remaining emissions reductions
needed to be on track to net zero over
2028-2032 (MtCO2e)
Source: Green Alliance